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Specification testing for regression models with dependent data. (English) Zbl 1418.62331

Summary: We examine a consistent test for the correct specification of a regression function with dependent data. The test is based on the supremum of the difference between the parametric and nonparametric estimates of the regression model. Rather surprisingly, the behaviour of the test depends on whether the regressors are deterministic or stochastic. In the former situation, the normalization constants necessary to obtain the limiting Gumbel distribution are data dependent and difficult to estimate, so it may be difficult to obtain valid critical values, whereas, in the latter, the asymptotic distribution may not be even known. Because of that, under very mild regularity conditions, we describe a bootstrap analogue for the test, showing its asymptotic validity and finite sample behaviour in a small Monte-Carlo experiment.

MSC:

62M10 Time series, auto-correlation, regression, etc. in statistics (GARCH)
62G10 Nonparametric hypothesis testing
62G07 Density estimation
62G09 Nonparametric statistical resampling methods
62E20 Asymptotic distribution theory in statistics
62G20 Asymptotic properties of nonparametric inference
62P20 Applications of statistics to economics

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