×

Performance evaluation of portfolios with fuzzy returns. (English) Zbl 1431.90060

Summary: The existing literature on DEA (Data Envelopment Analysis) for evaluating fuzzy portfolios usually takes risk as an input and return as an output. This assumption is actually not congruent with the real investment process, where the input is the initial wealth and the output is the corresponding terminal wealth. As for the risk and return, which are essentially two indicators derived from the terminal wealth, both should be regarded as outputs. In addition, few studies have employed the diversification model (nonlinear DEA) to estimate the fuzzy portfolio efficiency (PE), despite the fact that there are many studies available within the framework of classical probability theory. Further, the relationship between DEA and diversification models needs to be defined. In this paper, we take the initial wealth as an input, while the return and risk of terminal wealth are taken as desirable and undesirable outputs, respectively. We construct different evaluation models under the fuzzy portfolio framework. The relationships among the evaluation model based on a real frontier, the diversification model and the DEA model are investigated. We show the convergence of the diversification and DEA models under the fuzzy theory framework. Some simulations as well as empirical analysis are presented to further verify the effectiveness of the proposed models. Finally, we check the robustness of the evaluation results by using the bootstrap re-sampling approach.

MSC:

90B30 Production models
90B50 Management decision making, including multiple objectives
90C05 Linear programming
90C30 Nonlinear programming
90C70 Fuzzy and other nonstochastic uncertainty mathematical programming
Full Text: DOI

References:

[1] A. Basso and S. Funari, A data envelopment analysis approach to measure the mutual fund performance. Eur. J. Oper. Res. 135 (2001) 477-492. · Zbl 0988.90516
[2] M. Branda, Diversification-consistent data envelopment analysis with general deviation measures. Eur. J. Oper. Res. 226 (2013) 626-635. · Zbl 1292.91190
[3] M. Branda, Reformulations of input-output oriented DEA tests with diversification. Oper. Res. Lett. 41 (2013) 516-520. · Zbl 1286.91042 · doi:10.1016/j.orl.2013.06.011
[4] M. Branda, Diversification-consistent data envelopment analysis based on directional-distance measures. Omega 52 (2015) 65-76.
[5] W. Briec and K. Kerstens, Multi-horizon Markowitz portfolio performance appraisals: a general approach. Omega 37 (2009) 50-62.
[6] W. Briec, K. Kerstens and J.B. Lesourd, Single-period Markowitz portfolio selection, performance gauging, and duality: a variation on the Luenberger shortage function. J. Optim. Theor. App. 120 (2004) 1-27. · Zbl 1064.91042 · doi:10.1023/B:JOTA.0000012730.36740.bb
[7] W. Briec, K. Kerstens and O. Jokung, Mean-variance-skewness portfolio performance gauging: a general shortage function and dual approach. Manage. Sci. 53 (2007) 135-149. · Zbl 1232.91609
[8] E. Cao and M. Lai, A hybrid differential evolution algorithm to vehicle routing problem with fuzzy demands. J. Comput. Appl. Math. 231 (2009) 302-310. · Zbl 1167.90003
[9] J. Cao, G. Lian and T.R.N. Roslan, Pricing variance swaps under stochastic volatility and stochastic interest rate. Appl. Math. Comput. 277 (2016) 72-81. · Zbl 1410.91438
[10] M.M. Carhart, On persistence in mutual fund performance. J. Finance 52 (1997) 57-82.
[11] C. Carlsson, R. Fullér and P. Majlender, A possibilistic approach to selecting portfolios with highest utility score. Fuzzy Sets Syst. 1 (2002) 13-21. · Zbl 1027.91038 · doi:10.1016/S0165-0114(01)00251-2
[12] Z. Chen and R. Lin, Mutual fund performance evaluation using data envelopment analysis with new risk measures. Or Spectr. 28 (2006) 375-398. · Zbl 1130.90024
[13] W. Chen, Y. Gai and P. Gupta, Efficiency evaluation of fuzzy portfolio in different risk measures via DEA. Ann. Oper. Res. 269 (2018) 103-127. · Zbl 1409.91212
[14] W. Chen, S. Li, J. Zhang and M.K. Mehlawat, A comprehensive model for fuzzy multi-objective portfolio selection based on DEA cross-efficiency model. To appear in Soft Comput. DOI: (2018).
[15] H. Ding, Z. Zhou, H. Xiao, C. Ma and W. Liu, Performance evaluation of portfolios with margin requirements. Math. Prob. Eng. 2014 (2014) 1-8. · Zbl 1407.90203
[16] D. Dubois and H. Prade, Possibility Theory. Edited by Meyers, R.A. In Encyclopedia of Complexity and Systems Science. Springer, Heidelberg (2009) 6927-6939. · doi:10.1007/978-0-387-30440-3_413
[17] E.F. Fama and K.R. French, Disagreements, tastes and asset prices. J. Financial Econ. 83 (1993) 667-689. · doi:10.1016/j.jfineco.2006.01.003
[18] X. Huang, Mean-entropy models for fuzzy portfolio selection. IEEE Trans. Fuzzy Syst. 16 (2008) 1096-1101.
[19] Y. Huang, X. Yang and J. Zhou, Optimal investment and proportional reinsurance for a jump-diffusion risk model with constrained control variables. J. Comput. Appl. Math. 296 (2016) 443-461. · Zbl 1331.91097
[20] M.C. Jensen, The performance of mutual funds in the period 1945-1964. J. Finance 2 (1968) 389-416.
[21] T. Joro and P. Na, Portfolio performance evaluation in a mean-variance-skewness framework. Eur. J. Oper. Res. 175 (2006) 446-461. · Zbl 1137.91453
[22] J.S. Kamdem, C.T. Deffo and L.A. Fono, Moments and semi-moments for fuzzy portfolio selection. Insurance Math. Econ. 51 (2012) 517-530. · Zbl 1285.91123 · doi:10.1016/j.insmatheco.2012.07.003
[23] J.D. Lamb and K.H. Tee, Data envelopment analysis models of investment funds. Eur. J. Oper. Res. 216 (2012) 687-696. · Zbl 1237.91239
[24] B. Liu and Y.K. Liu, Expected value of fuzzy variable and fuzzy expected value models. IEEE Trans. Fuzzy Syst. 10 (2002) 445-450.
[25] Y. Liu and W. Zhang, A multi-period fuzzy portfolio optimization model with minimum transaction lots. Eur. J. Oper. Res. 242 (2015) 933-941. · Zbl 1341.90151
[26] Y. Liu, W. Zhang and W. Xu, Fuzzy multi-period portfolio selection optimization models using multiple criteria. Automatica 48 (2012) 3042-3053. · Zbl 1255.93152 · doi:10.1016/j.automatica.2012.08.036
[27] W. Liu, Z. Zhou, D. Liu and H. Xiao, Estimation of portfolio efficiency via DEA. Omega 52 (2015) 107-118.
[28] S. Lozano and E. Gutiérrez, Data envelopment analysis of mutual funds based on second-order stochastic dominance. Eur. J. Oper. Res. 189 (2008) 230-244. · Zbl 1147.90016
[29] H. Markowitz, Portfolio selection. J. Finance 7 (1952) 77-91.
[30] Z. Mashayekhi and H. Omrani, An integrated multi-objective Markowitz-DEA cross-efficiency model with fuzzy returns for portfolio selection problem. Appl. Soft Comput. 38 (2016) 1-9.
[31] M.K. Mehlawat, Credibilistic mean-entropy models for multi-period portfolio selection with multi-choice aspiration levels. Inf. Sci. 345 (2016) 9-26. · Zbl 1396.91697
[32] M.R. Morey and R.C. Morey, Mutual fund performance appraisals: a multi-horizon perspective with endogenous benchmarking. Omega 27 (1999) 241-258.
[33] B.P.S. Murthi, Y.K. Choi and P. Desai, Efficiency of mutual funds and portfolio performance measurement: a non-parametric approach. Eur. J. Oper. Res. 98 (1997) 408-418. · Zbl 0930.91020
[34] Z. Qin, X. Li and X. Ji, Portfolio selection based on fuzzy cross-entropy. J. Comput. Appl. Math. 228 (2009) 139-149. · Zbl 1161.91403
[35] A. Saeidifar and E. Pasha, On the possibilistic moments of fuzzy numbers and their applications. J. Comput. Appl. Math. 223 (2009) 1028-1042. · Zbl 1159.65013
[36] W.F. Sharpe, Mutual fund performance. J. Bus. 1 (1966) 119-138.
[37] M. Silva Portela, E. Thanassoulis and G. Simpson, Negative data in DEA: a directional distance approach applied to bank branches. J. Oper. Res. Soc. 55 (2004) 1111-1121. · Zbl 1095.90063
[38] J.L. Treynor, How to rate management of investment funds. Harvard Bus. Rev. 43 (1965) 63-75.
[39] E. Vercher, J.D. Bermúdez and J.V. Segura, Fuzzy portfolio optimization under downside risk measures. Fuzzy Sets Syst. 158 (2007) 769-782. · Zbl 1190.91140 · doi:10.1016/j.fss.2006.10.026
[40] L.A. Zadeh, Fuzzy sets. Inf. Control 8 (1965) 338-353. · Zbl 0139.24606 · doi:10.1016/S0019-9958(65)90241-X
[41] P. Zhang and W. Zhang, Multiperiod mean absolute deviation fuzzy portfolio selection model with risk control and cardinality constraints. Fuzzy Sets Syst. 255 (2014) 74-91. · Zbl 1335.91074 · doi:10.1016/j.fss.2014.07.018
[42] W. Zhang, Y. Liu and W. Xu, A possibilistic mean-semivariance-entropy model for multi-period portfolio selection with transaction costs. Eur. J. Oper. Res. 222 (2012) 341-349. · Zbl 1253.91173
[43] X. Zhao, S. Wang and K.K. Lai, Mutual funds performance evaluation based on endogenous benchmarks. Expert Syst. App. 38 (2011) 3663-3670. · doi:10.1016/j.eswa.2010.09.022
[44] Z. Zhou, L. Zhao, S. Lui and C. Ma, A generalized fuzzy DEA/AR performance assessment model. Math. Comput. Model. 55 (2012) 2117-2128. · Zbl 1255.90137
[45] Z. Zhou, H. Xiao, J. Yin, X. Zeng and L. Lin, Pre-commitment vs. time-consistent strategies for the generalized multi-period portfolio optimization with stochastic cash flows. Insurance: Math. Econ. 68 (2016) 187-202. · Zbl 1369.91170 · doi:10.1016/j.insmatheco.2016.03.002
[46] Z. Zhou, Q. Jin, H. Xiao, Q. Wu and W. Liu, Estimation of cardinality constrained portfolio efficiency via segmented DEA. Omega 76 (2018) 28-37.
[47] Z. Zhou, X. Liu, H. Xiao, T. Ren and W. Liu, Time-consistent strategies for multi-period portfolio optimization with/without the risk-free asset. Math. Prob. Eng. 2018 (2018) 20. · Zbl 1427.91265
[48] Z. Zhou, H. Xiao, Q. Jin, W. Liu, DEA frontier improvement and portfolio rebalancing: an application of China mutual funds on considering sustainability information disclosure. Eur. J. Oper. Res. 269 (2018) 111-131. · Zbl 1431.91373
[49] Z. Zhou, X. Zeng, H. Xiao, T. Ren and W. Liu, Multiperiod portfolio optimization for asset-liability management with quadratic transaction costs. J. Ind. Manage. Optim. 15 (2019) 1493-1515. · Zbl 1438.90216
This reference list is based on information provided by the publisher or from digital mathematics libraries. Its items are heuristically matched to zbMATH identifiers and may contain data conversion errors. In some cases that data have been complemented/enhanced by data from zbMATH Open. This attempts to reflect the references listed in the original paper as accurately as possible without claiming completeness or a perfect matching.