×

Parametric modeling of implied smile functions: a generalized SVI model. (English) Zbl 1269.91101

Summary: In this paper, we propose a parametric model of implied variance which is a natural generalization of the SVI model. The model improves the SVI by allowing more flexibly the negative curvature in the tails which is justified both theoretically and empirically. The fitting of the model, comparing with the other competing parametric models (SVI, SABR), to the implied volatility smile and the risk neutral density function is tested on SPX options.

MSC:

91G70 Statistical methods; risk measures
62P05 Applications of statistics to actuarial sciences and financial mathematics
91G20 Derivative securities (option pricing, hedging, etc.)
Full Text: DOI

References:

[1] Abadir K. M., Rockinger M. (2003) Density functionals, with an option-pricing application. Econometric Theory 19: 778-811 · Zbl 1441.62574
[2] Abramowitz, M., & Stegun, I., (1972). Handbook of mathematical functions: With formulas, graphs, and mathematical tables. No. 55 in Applied Mathematics Series. National Bureau of Standards. · Zbl 0543.33001
[3] Aït-Sahalia Y., Duarte J. (2003) Nonparametric option pricing under shape restrictions. Journal of Econometrics 116: 9-47 · Zbl 1016.62121 · doi:10.1016/S0304-4076(03)00102-7
[4] Aït-Sahalia Y., Lo A. W. (1998) Nonparametric estimation of state-price densities implicit in financial asset price. Journal of Finance 53(2): 499-547 · doi:10.1111/0022-1082.215228
[5] Aït-Sahalia Y., Lo A. W. (2000) Nonparametric risk management and implied risk aversion. Journal of Econometrics 94: 9-51 · Zbl 0952.62091 · doi:10.1016/S0304-4076(99)00016-0
[6] Banz R. W., Miller M. H. (1978) Prices for state-contingent claims: Some estimates and applications. The Journal of Business 51(4): 653-672 · doi:10.1086/296026
[7] Benaim S., Friz P. (2009) Regular variation and smile asymptotics. Mathematical Finance 19: 1-12 · Zbl 1155.91377 · doi:10.1111/j.1467-9965.2008.00354.x
[8] Black F. (1976) The pricing of commodity contracts. Journal of Financial Economics 3: 167-179 · doi:10.1016/0304-405X(76)90024-6
[9] Black F., Scholes M. (1973) The pricing of options and corporate liabilities. Journal of Political Economy 81: 637-654 · Zbl 1092.91524 · doi:10.1086/260062
[10] Bliss R. R., Panigirtzoglou N. (2002) Testing the stability of implied probability density functions. Journal of Banking & Finance 26: 381-422 · doi:10.1016/S0378-4266(01)00227-8
[11] Breeden D. T., Litzenberger R. H. (1978) Prices of state-contingent claims in option prices. Journal of Business 51: 621-651 · doi:10.1086/296025
[12] Brunner B., Hafner R. (2003) Arbitrage-free estimation of the risk-neutral density from the implied volatility smile. The Journal of Computational Finance 7(1): 75-106
[13] Campa J. M., Chang K., Reider R. L. (1998) Implied exchange rate distributions: Evidence from OTC option markets. Journal of International Money and Finance 17: 117-160 · doi:10.1016/S0261-5606(97)00054-5
[14] Castagno A., Mercurio F. (2007) The Vanna-Volga method for implied volatilities. Risk Magazine 20(1): 106-111
[15] Detlefsen K., Härdle W. (2008) Calibration design of implied volatility surfaces. Journal of Data Science 6: 303-312
[16] Dumas B., Fleming J., Whaley R. E. (1998) Implied volatility functions: Empirical tests. Journal of Finance 53(6): 2059-2106 · doi:10.1111/0022-1082.00083
[17] Fengler M. R. (2005) Semiparametric modeling of implied volatility. Springer Finance, Berlin · Zbl 1084.62109
[18] Fengler M. R. (2009) Arbitrage-free smoothing of the implied volatility surface. Quantitative Finance 9(4): 417-428 · Zbl 1182.91172 · doi:10.1080/14697680802595585
[19] Fengler, M. R.; Duan, J.-C. (ed.); Härdle, W. K. (ed.); Gentle, J. E. (ed.), Option data and modeling BSM implied volatility, 117-142 (2012), Berlin · Zbl 1229.91305 · doi:10.1007/978-3-642-17254-0_6
[20] Gatheral, J. (2004). A parsimonious arbitrage-free implied volatility parameterisation with application to the valuation of volatility derivatives. Global derivatives and risk management, Madrid, May 2004. http://faculty.baruch.cuny.edu/jgatheral/madrid2004.pdf.
[21] Gatheral J. (2006) The volatility surface: A practitioner’s guide. Wiley Finance, New York
[22] Gilli, M., & Schumann, E., (2010). Calibrating the Heston model with differential evolution. In Applications of evolutionary computation (Vol. 6025 of Lecture Notes in Computer Science, pp. 242-250). Berlin: Springer. · Zbl 1134.91443
[23] Hagan P. S., Kumar D., Lesniewski A. S., Woodward D. E. (2002) Managing smile risk. Wilmott Magazine 1: 84-108
[24] Hentschel L. (2003) Errors in implied volatility estimation. Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis 38(4): 779-810 · doi:10.2307/4126743
[25] Heston S. (1993) A closed-form solution for options with stochastic volatility with applications to bond and currency options. Review of Financial Studies 6: 327-343 · Zbl 1384.35131 · doi:10.1093/rfs/6.2.327
[26] Lee R. (2004) The moment formula for implied volatility at extreme strikes. Mathematical Finance 14(3): 469-480 · Zbl 1134.91443 · doi:10.1111/j.0960-1627.2004.00200.x
[27] Malz A. M. (1997) Estimating the probability distributino of the future exchange rate from options prices. Journal of Derivatives 5(2): 18-36 · doi:10.3905/jod.1997.407988
[28] Merton R. C. (1973) Theory of rational option pricing. Bell Journal of Economics and Management Science 4: 141-183 · Zbl 1257.91043 · doi:10.2307/3003143
[29] Monteiro A. M., Tutuncu R. H., Vicente L. N. (2008) Recovering risk-neutral probability density functions from options prices using cubic splines and ensuring nonnegativity. European Journal of Operational Research 187(2): 525-542 · Zbl 1149.90114 · doi:10.1016/j.ejor.2007.02.041
[30] Price K., Storn R. M., Lampinen J. A. (2005) Differential evolution: A practical approach to global minimization natural computing series. Springer, Berlin · Zbl 1186.90004
[31] Rogers L., Tehranchi M. (2010) Can the implied volatility surface move by parallel shifts. Finance and Stochastics 14(2): 235-248 · Zbl 1224.91197 · doi:10.1007/s00780-008-0081-9
[32] Shimko D. C. (1993) Bounds of probability. Risk Magazine 6(4): 33-37
[33] Stineman R. W. (1980) A consistently well behaved method of interpolation. Creative Computing 6(7): 54-57
[34] Yatchew A., Härdle W. (2006) Nonparametric state price density estimation using constrained least squares and the bootstrap. Journal of Econometrics 133(3): 579-599 · Zbl 1345.62130 · doi:10.1016/j.jeconom.2005.06.031
[35] Zeliade. (2009). Quasi-explicit calibration of Gatheral’s SVI model. Technical report.
This reference list is based on information provided by the publisher or from digital mathematics libraries. Its items are heuristically matched to zbMATH identifiers and may contain data conversion errors. In some cases that data have been complemented/enhanced by data from zbMATH Open. This attempts to reflect the references listed in the original paper as accurately as possible without claiming completeness or a perfect matching.