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Markov properties for linear causal models with correlated errors. (English) Zbl 1235.68162

Summary: A linear causal model with correlated errors, represented by a DAG with bi-directed edges, can be tested by the set of conditional independence relations implied by the model. A global Markov property specifies, by the d-separation criterion, the set of all conditional independence relations holding in any model associated with a graph. A local Markov property specifies a much smaller set of conditional independence relations which will imply all other conditional independence relations which hold under the global Markov property. For DAGs with bi-directed edges associated with arbitrary probability distributions, a local Markov property is given in [T. Richardson, Scand. J. Stat. 30, No. 1, 145–157 (2003; Zbl 1035.60005)] which may invoke an exponential number of conditional independencies. In this paper, we show that for a class of linear structural equation models with correlated errors, there is a local Markov property which will invoke only a linear number of conditional independence relations. For general linear models, we provide a local Markov property that often invokes far fewer conditional independencies than that in [loc. cit.]. The results have applications in testing linear structural equation models with correlated errors.

MSC:

68T05 Learning and adaptive systems in artificial intelligence
62M45 Neural nets and related approaches to inference from stochastic processes

Citations:

Zbl 1035.60005