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Empirical Bayes estimation of a location parameter. (English) Zbl 0883.62006

Summary: Assume that in independent two-dimensional random vectors \((X_1,\theta_1), \dots, (X_N, \theta_N)\), each \(\theta_i\) is distributed according to some unknown prior distribution density \(g\), and that, given \(\theta_i\), \(X_i\) has the conditional density function \(q(x- \theta_i)\), \(i=1, \dots,N\). In each pair the first component is observable, but the second is not. After the \((N+1)\)-th pair \((X_{N+1}, \theta_{N+1})\) is obtained, the objective is to construct the empirical Bayes estimator of a polynomial \(f(\theta_{N+1}) =\sum^n_{j=0} b_j (\theta_{N+ 1})^j\) with given coefficients \(b_j\).
We derive the empirical Bayes estimator of \(b(\theta)\) without any parametric assumptions on \(g\). The upper bound for the mean squared error is obtained. The lower bound for the mean squared error over the class of all possible empirical Bayes estimators is also derived. It is shown that the estimators constructed in the paper have the optimal or nearly optimal convergence rates. Examples for familiar families of conditional distributions are considered.

MSC:

62C12 Empirical decision procedures; empirical Bayes procedures
62F15 Bayesian inference