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Innovation adoption and collective experimentation. (English) Zbl 1437.91338

Summary: I study learning about an innovation with costly information acquisition and knowledge sharing through a network. Agents situated in an arbitrary graph follow a myopic belief update rule. The network structure and initial beliefs jointly determine long-run adoption behavior. Networks that share information effectively converge on a consensus more quickly but are prone to errors. Consequently, dense or centralized networks have more volatile outcomes, and efforts to seed adoption should focus on individuals who are disconnected from one another. I argue that anti-seeding, preventing central individuals from experimenting early in the learning process, is an effective intervention because the population as a whole may gather more information.

MSC:

91D15 Social learning
91-05 Experimental work for problems pertaining to game theory, economics, and finance
Full Text: DOI

References:

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