In this paper existing epidemic models of diffusion in the literature are modified to give freer ... more In this paper existing epidemic models of diffusion in the literature are modified to give freer interaction between exogenous and endogenous factors in the diffusion process and to also reflect the role of economic factors in that process. A new encompassing model is proposed and its properties explored. The model is applied to the diffusion of colour television ownership in the UK and outperforms the existing models in the literature. The exogenous factors play a dominant role in the diffusion of colour television in the UK.
In this paper existing epidemic models of diffusion in the literature are modified to give freer ... more In this paper existing epidemic models of diffusion in the literature are modified to give freer interaction between exogenous and endogenous factors in the diffusion process and to also reflect the role of economic factors in that process. A new encompassing model is proposed and its properties explored. The model is applied to the diffusion of colour television ownership in the UK and outperforms the existing models in the literature. The exogenous factors play a dominant role in the diffusion of colour television in the UK.
... Francesca Bettio, Suk-hamoy Chakravarty, Ruchira Chatterji, Gavan Duffy, Hasan Hakimian, Ahma... more ... Francesca Bettio, Suk-hamoy Chakravarty, Ruchira Chatterji, Gavan Duffy, Hasan Hakimian, Ahmad Jazayeri, Iain Macpherson, Suzy Paine, Naser Pakdaman, Nazy Sedaghat, John Sender, and Pervez Tahir read various chapters of the book and provided valuable comments ...
... that the problems of Iranian agri-culture resulted from inefficient resource use within the s... more ... that the problems of Iranian agri-culture resulted from inefficient resource use within the sector rather than a resource squeeze from agriculture. ... In the next section we apply the above accounting framework to the measurement of intersectoral resource flows in Iran ...
Page 1. Oil Income, Industrialisation Bias, and the Agricultural Squeeze Hypothesis: New Evidence... more Page 1. Oil Income, Industrialisation Bias, and the Agricultural Squeeze Hypothesis: New Evidence on the Experience of Iran Massoud Karshenas* The widely held view that Iranian industrialisation policies during the 1962-77 ...
In this paper we undertake a comparative study of the development paths of Asia and sub-Saharan A... more In this paper we undertake a comparative study of the development paths of Asia and sub-Saharan Africa since the 1960s applying the classical framework used by Arthur Lewis in his 1954 paper on economic development with unlimited supplies of labour. We argue that the classical framework used by Lewis can provide powerful insights into the comparative
... Massoud Karshenas () (Department of Economics, SOAS-School of Oriental & African Studies ... more ... Massoud Karshenas () (Department of Economics, SOAS-School of Oriental & African Studies , University of London) Abstract. The Middle East and North Africa (MENA) region has lagged behind other regions in liberalization and economic reform during the past two decades. ...
The Palgrave International Handbook of Basic Income
Karshenas and Tabatabai consider Iran’s nationwide, universal cash transfer programme, which was ... more Karshenas and Tabatabai consider Iran’s nationwide, universal cash transfer programme, which was launched in December 2010 as compensation for massive cuts in subsidies that led to increased prices for energy and other basic products. The authors describe the unusual manner in which the programme emerged, and its potential lessons. Of particular interest is the impact on incomes and expenditures, labour supply, inflation, income distribution, and poverty, in the immediate aftermath of the launch of the programme, as well as its implications for similar schemes such as financing a UBI by carbon taxes. Given an extremely adverse broader environment however, the programme, while still continuing after eight years, has lost much of its lustre as the purchasing power of the transfers has been largely wiped out through inflation.
SINCE the 1979 revolution, profound changes have taken place in the Iranian economy as a result o... more SINCE the 1979 revolution, profound changes have taken place in the Iranian economy as a result of a combination of external and internal factors. The revolution itself, the taking of US hostages in November 1979, the trade sanctions and freezing of Iranian assets that followed, the costly and protracted eight-year war with Iraq, and the vagaries of the oil market all have made their mark on the economy. The Islamic Republic's response to these unfolding economic crises was to follow a policy of severe import compression, international economic isolation, and reliance on bureaucratic arrangements as principal allocative and distributive mechanisms in the economy. The outcome has been a deteriorating economy, rising inflation, foreign indebtedness on an unprecedented scale, a substantial increase in rent-seeking activities at the expense of productive enterprise, a shrinking of capital stock, an inadequately trained work force, and economic institutions that are badly in need of ...
This paper investigates the relation between female labor force participation rates and wage comp... more This paper investigates the relation between female labor force participation rates and wage competitiveness in the MENA region. We offer a new explanation for MENA?s low female labor force participation rates based on the variation in average non-agricultural wages in different countries in the process of transition from agrarian to modern industrial structures. The hypothesis is tested using a sample of 51 developing countries at different stages of development. We also examine the implications of low female labor force participation rates in non-agricultural activities for wage competitiveness and successful adjustment in the MENA countries. It is argued that during the oil era the economies in the MENA region locked themselves into family structures and female socio-economic roles which are not compatible with current economic realities. The central hypothesis of the paper is that, given the rates of labor productivity in the region, combined with the role of women within the pa...
In this paper existing epidemic models of diffusion in the literature are modified to give freer ... more In this paper existing epidemic models of diffusion in the literature are modified to give freer interaction between exogenous and endogenous factors in the diffusion process and to also reflect the role of economic factors in that process. A new encompassing model is proposed and its properties explored. The model is applied to the diffusion of colour television ownership in the UK and outperforms the existing models in the literature. The exogenous factors play a dominant role in the diffusion of colour television in the UK.
In this paper existing epidemic models of diffusion in the literature are modified to give freer ... more In this paper existing epidemic models of diffusion in the literature are modified to give freer interaction between exogenous and endogenous factors in the diffusion process and to also reflect the role of economic factors in that process. A new encompassing model is proposed and its properties explored. The model is applied to the diffusion of colour television ownership in the UK and outperforms the existing models in the literature. The exogenous factors play a dominant role in the diffusion of colour television in the UK.
... Francesca Bettio, Suk-hamoy Chakravarty, Ruchira Chatterji, Gavan Duffy, Hasan Hakimian, Ahma... more ... Francesca Bettio, Suk-hamoy Chakravarty, Ruchira Chatterji, Gavan Duffy, Hasan Hakimian, Ahmad Jazayeri, Iain Macpherson, Suzy Paine, Naser Pakdaman, Nazy Sedaghat, John Sender, and Pervez Tahir read various chapters of the book and provided valuable comments ...
... that the problems of Iranian agri-culture resulted from inefficient resource use within the s... more ... that the problems of Iranian agri-culture resulted from inefficient resource use within the sector rather than a resource squeeze from agriculture. ... In the next section we apply the above accounting framework to the measurement of intersectoral resource flows in Iran ...
Page 1. Oil Income, Industrialisation Bias, and the Agricultural Squeeze Hypothesis: New Evidence... more Page 1. Oil Income, Industrialisation Bias, and the Agricultural Squeeze Hypothesis: New Evidence on the Experience of Iran Massoud Karshenas* The widely held view that Iranian industrialisation policies during the 1962-77 ...
In this paper we undertake a comparative study of the development paths of Asia and sub-Saharan A... more In this paper we undertake a comparative study of the development paths of Asia and sub-Saharan Africa since the 1960s applying the classical framework used by Arthur Lewis in his 1954 paper on economic development with unlimited supplies of labour. We argue that the classical framework used by Lewis can provide powerful insights into the comparative
... Massoud Karshenas () (Department of Economics, SOAS-School of Oriental & African Studies ... more ... Massoud Karshenas () (Department of Economics, SOAS-School of Oriental & African Studies , University of London) Abstract. The Middle East and North Africa (MENA) region has lagged behind other regions in liberalization and economic reform during the past two decades. ...
The Palgrave International Handbook of Basic Income
Karshenas and Tabatabai consider Iran’s nationwide, universal cash transfer programme, which was ... more Karshenas and Tabatabai consider Iran’s nationwide, universal cash transfer programme, which was launched in December 2010 as compensation for massive cuts in subsidies that led to increased prices for energy and other basic products. The authors describe the unusual manner in which the programme emerged, and its potential lessons. Of particular interest is the impact on incomes and expenditures, labour supply, inflation, income distribution, and poverty, in the immediate aftermath of the launch of the programme, as well as its implications for similar schemes such as financing a UBI by carbon taxes. Given an extremely adverse broader environment however, the programme, while still continuing after eight years, has lost much of its lustre as the purchasing power of the transfers has been largely wiped out through inflation.
SINCE the 1979 revolution, profound changes have taken place in the Iranian economy as a result o... more SINCE the 1979 revolution, profound changes have taken place in the Iranian economy as a result of a combination of external and internal factors. The revolution itself, the taking of US hostages in November 1979, the trade sanctions and freezing of Iranian assets that followed, the costly and protracted eight-year war with Iraq, and the vagaries of the oil market all have made their mark on the economy. The Islamic Republic's response to these unfolding economic crises was to follow a policy of severe import compression, international economic isolation, and reliance on bureaucratic arrangements as principal allocative and distributive mechanisms in the economy. The outcome has been a deteriorating economy, rising inflation, foreign indebtedness on an unprecedented scale, a substantial increase in rent-seeking activities at the expense of productive enterprise, a shrinking of capital stock, an inadequately trained work force, and economic institutions that are badly in need of ...
This paper investigates the relation between female labor force participation rates and wage comp... more This paper investigates the relation between female labor force participation rates and wage competitiveness in the MENA region. We offer a new explanation for MENA?s low female labor force participation rates based on the variation in average non-agricultural wages in different countries in the process of transition from agrarian to modern industrial structures. The hypothesis is tested using a sample of 51 developing countries at different stages of development. We also examine the implications of low female labor force participation rates in non-agricultural activities for wage competitiveness and successful adjustment in the MENA countries. It is argued that during the oil era the economies in the MENA region locked themselves into family structures and female socio-economic roles which are not compatible with current economic realities. The central hypothesis of the paper is that, given the rates of labor productivity in the region, combined with the role of women within the pa...
Uploads
Papers